10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 83.68 · S2 82.84 · S3 63.51 · S4 69.22
④ Position
98% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (84-112), entry at R1 112, target mid 98, stop 120
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 111.70 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 83.68, stop 113.93
- IF 失守 83.68 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 82.84 → 82.42
- IF 突破 113.93 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 117.29 → 94.40
- IF 跌穿 69.22 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
111.70
Target
97.69
Stop
120.31
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+7.71%
Reward
+12.54%
R:R
1.63 : 1
Backtest 197d
80% win (n=5) · +4.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 94.40
- R1 (today high)
- 111.70
- Last
- 111.15
- S1 KEY
- 83.68
- S3
- 63.51
- S4 (crash)
- 69.22
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.