10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 303.80 · S2 300.76 · S3 300.50 · S4 349.00
④ Position
82% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (304-373), entry at R1 373, target mid 338, stop 394
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 372.98 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 303.80, stop 380.44
- IF 失守 303.80 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 300.76 → 299.24
- IF 突破 380.44 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 391.63 → 483.21
- IF 跌穿 349.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
372.98
Target
338.39
Stop
393.73
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.56%
Reward
+9.27%
R:R
1.67 : 1
Backtest 90d
50% win (n=14) · +6.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 483.21
- R1 (today high)
- 372.98
- Last
- 360.54
- S1 KEY
- 303.80
- S3
- 300.50
- S4 (crash)
- 349.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.