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JCI 142.08 -0.64%

Johnson Controls International · SELL_R1 · 67% win (60d, n=6) · +3.7% · Phase: Downtrend active

Phase: Downtrend active Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 60 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

JCI daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Downtrend active
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 136.24 · S2 134.88 · S3 125.91 · S4 108.41
④ Position 28% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (136-157), pos 28%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 157.06 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 136.24, stop 160.20
  • IF 失守 136.24 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 134.88 → 134.20
  • IF 突破 160.20 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 164.91 → 147.32
  • IF 跌穿 108.41 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d 67% win (n=6) · +3.7%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
147.32
R1 (today high)
157.06
Last
142.08
S1 KEY
136.24
S3
125.91
S4 (crash)
108.41
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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