10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 466.88 · S2 462.21 · S3 471.14 · S4 387.78
④ Position
40% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (467-515), pos 40%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 514.78 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 466.88, stop 525.08
- IF 失守 466.88 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 462.21 → 459.88
- IF 突破 525.08 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 540.52 → 521.28
- IF 跌穿 387.78 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
83% win (n=6) · +2.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 521.28
- R1 (today high)
- 514.78
- Last
- 485.94
- S1 KEY
- 466.88
- S3
- 471.14
- S4 (crash)
- 387.78
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.