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US · Mastercard Incorporated

MA 597.13 -0.46%

Mastercard Incorporated · SELL_R1 · 53% win (90d, n=15) · +1.6% · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 90 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

MA daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 554.92 · S2 549.37 · S3 480.50 · S4 490.00
④ Position 91% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (555-601), pos 91%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 601.18 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 554.92, stop 613.20
  • IF 失守 554.92 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 549.37 → 546.60
  • IF 突破 613.20 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 631.24 → 534.21
  • IF 跌穿 490.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d 53% win (n=15) · +1.6%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
534.21
R1 (today high)
601.18
Last
597.13
S1 KEY
554.92
S3
480.50
S4 (crash)
490.00
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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