10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 810.88 · S2 802.77 · S3 723.68 · S4 789.96
④ Position
74% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (811-912), entry at R1 912, target mid 862, stop 953
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 912.50 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 810.88, stop 930.75
- IF 失守 810.88 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 802.77 → 798.72
- IF 突破 930.75 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 958.12 → 959.95
- IF 跌穿 789.96 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
912.50
Target
861.69
Stop
953.30
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.47%
Reward
+5.57%
R:R
1.25 : 1
Backtest 197d
48% win (n=21) · +4.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 959.95
- R1 (today high)
- 912.50
- Last
- 885.59
- S1 KEY
- 810.88
- S3
- 723.68
- S4 (crash)
- 789.96
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.