10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 83.84 · S2 83.00 · S3 73.67 · S4 89.62
④ Position
74% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (84-95), entry at R1 95, target mid 89, stop 98
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 94.72 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 83.84, stop 96.61
- IF 失守 83.84 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 83.00 → 82.58
- IF 突破 96.61 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 99.46 → 94.90
- IF 跌穿 89.62 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
94.72
Target
89.28
Stop
97.83
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.28%
Reward
+5.74%
R:R
1.75 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 94.90
- R1 (today high)
- 94.72
- Last
- 91.84
- S1 KEY
- 83.84
- S3
- 73.67
- S4 (crash)
- 89.62
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.