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US · MercadoLibre, Inc.

MELI 1,985.79 +1.95%

MercadoLibre, Inc. · SELL_R1 · 62% win (60d, n=13) · +10.3% · Phase: Base building

Phase: Base building Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RR_TOO_THIN · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: HIGH

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 60 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

MELI daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Base building
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 1,759.21 · S2 1,741.62 · S3 1,495.00 · S4 1,654.24
④ Position 90% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RR_TOO_THIN: stop 已加闊到 1.5×ATR 但 R:R 唔夠 — 等更好嘅位置先入場。 | rr_floor: stop 加闊到 1.5×ATR 後 R:R < 1.2,賠率唔夠,降級 WAIT。等價格更近 trigger 或者波動收窄先再睇。

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 2,011.06 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 1,759.21, stop 2,051.28
  • IF 失守 1,759.21 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 1,741.62 → 1,732.82
  • IF 突破 2,051.28 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,111.61 → 1,903.00
  • IF 跌穿 1,654.24 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RR_TOO_THIN
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d 62% win (n=13) · +10.3%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
1,903.00
R1 (today high)
2,011.06
Last
1,985.79
S1 KEY
1,759.21
S3
1,495.00
S4 (crash)
1,654.24
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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