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US · Merck & Company, Inc.

MRK 153.81 +2.09%

Merck & Company, Inc. · SELL_R1 · 53% win (90d, n=17) · +1.5% · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 90 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

MRK daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 126.22 · S2 124.96 · S3 107.90 · S4 84.35
④ Position 96% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (126-155), pos 96%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 154.95 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 126.22, stop 158.05
  • IF 失守 126.22 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 124.96 → 124.33
  • IF 突破 158.05 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 162.70 → 124.00
  • IF 跌穿 84.35 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d 53% win (n=17) · +1.5%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
124.00
R1 (today high)
154.95
Last
153.81
S1 KEY
126.22
S3
107.90
S4 (crash)
84.35
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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