10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 106.05 · S2 104.99 · S3 81.24 · S4 98.00
④ Position
84% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (106-131), entry at R1 131, target mid 119, stop 140
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 131.18 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 106.05, stop 133.80
- IF 失守 106.05 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 104.99 → 104.46
- IF 突破 133.80 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 137.74 → 126.67
- IF 跌穿 98.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
131.18
Target
118.61
Stop
139.97
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+6.70%
Reward
+9.58%
R:R
1.43 : 1
Backtest 60d
56% win (n=9) · +5.9%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 126.67
- R1 (today high)
- 131.18
- Last
- 127.24
- S1 KEY
- 106.05
- S3
- 81.24
- S4 (crash)
- 98.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.