10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 70.92 · S2 70.21 · S3 54.99 · S4 44.56
④ Position
7% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (71-87), pos 7%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 86.70 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 70.92, stop 88.43
- IF 失守 70.92 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 70.21 → 69.86
- IF 突破 88.43 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 91.04 → 129.13
- IF 跌穿 44.56 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
83% win (n=12) · +9.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 129.13
- R1 (today high)
- 86.70
- Last
- 71.99
- S1 KEY
- 70.92
- S3
- 54.99
- S4 (crash)
- 44.56
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.