10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 53.66 · S2 53.12 · S3 51.96 · S4 38.80
④ Position
62% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (54-62), entry at R1 62, target mid 58, stop 65
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 62.15 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 53.66, stop 63.39
- IF 失守 53.66 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 53.12 → 52.86
- IF 突破 63.39 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 65.26 → 67.45
- IF 跌穿 38.80 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
62.15
Target
57.91
Stop
64.59
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.92%
Reward
+6.83%
R:R
1.74 : 1
Backtest 197d
60% win (n=5) · +0.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 67.45
- R1 (today high)
- 62.15
- Last
- 58.91
- S1 KEY
- 53.66
- S3
- 51.96
- S4 (crash)
- 38.80
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.