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PH 1,019.16 +0.49%

Parker-Hannifin Corporation · SELL_R1 · 55% win (90d, n=11) · +1.6% · Phase: Downtrend active

Phase: Downtrend active Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 90 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

PH daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Downtrend active
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 942.32 · S2 932.90 · S3 839.15 · S4 806.22
④ Position 49% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (942-1100), pos 49%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 1,099.94 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 942.32, stop 1,121.94
  • IF 失守 942.32 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 932.90 → 928.19
  • IF 突破 1,121.94 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,154.94 → 1,029.00
  • IF 跌穿 806.22 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d 55% win (n=11) · +1.6%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
1,029.00
R1 (today high)
1,099.94
Last
1,019.16
S1 KEY
942.32
S3
839.15
S4 (crash)
806.22
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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