10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 137.22 · S2 135.85 · S3 126.37 · S4 118.64
④ Position
51% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (137-149), pos 51%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 149.16 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 137.22, stop 152.14
- IF 失守 137.22 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 135.85 → 135.16
- IF 突破 152.14 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 156.62 → 146.86
- IF 跌穿 118.64 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
62% win (n=8) · +2.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 146.86
- R1 (today high)
- 149.16
- Last
- 143.36
- S1 KEY
- 137.22
- S3
- 126.37
- S4 (crash)
- 118.64
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.