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US · Phillips 66

PSX 240.43 -0.63%

Phillips 66 · SELL_R1 · 40% win (197d, n=43) · +0.7% · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 197 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

PSX daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 200.31 · S2 198.31 · S3 153.58 · S4 127.16
④ Position 86% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (200-247), pos 86%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 246.95 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 200.31, stop 251.89
  • IF 失守 200.31 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 198.31 → 197.31
  • IF 突破 251.89 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 259.30 → 190.61
  • IF 跌穿 127.16 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d 40% win (n=43) · +0.7%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
190.61
R1 (today high)
246.95
Last
240.43
S1 KEY
200.31
S3
153.58
S4 (crash)
127.16
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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