10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 58.20 · S2 57.62 · S3 56.13 · S4 37.57
④ Position
32% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (58-87), pos 32%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 86.83 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 58.20, stop 88.57
- IF 失守 58.20 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 57.62 → 57.33
- IF 突破 88.57 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 91.17 → 151.00
- IF 跌穿 37.57 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
60% win (n=5) · +0.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 151.00
- R1 (today high)
- 86.83
- Last
- 67.42
- S1 KEY
- 58.20
- S3
- 56.13
- S4 (crash)
- 37.57
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.