10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 22.55 · S2 22.32 · S3 23.85 · S4 22.95
④ Position
99% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (23-26), entry at R1 26, target mid 24, stop 26
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 25.77 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 22.55, stop 26.29
- IF 失守 22.55 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 22.32 → 22.21
- IF 突破 26.29 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 27.06 → 29.44
- IF 跌穿 22.95 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
25.77
Target
24.16
Stop
26.49
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.79%
Reward
+6.26%
R:R
2.24 : 1
Backtest 60d
50% win (n=6) · +0.0%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 29.44
- R1 (today high)
- 25.77
- Last
- 25.74
- S1 KEY
- 22.55
- S3
- 23.85
- S4 (crash)
- 22.95
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.