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VLO 344.14 -0.54%

Valero Energy Corporation · SELL_R1 · 52% win (197d, n=42) · +4.4% · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 197 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

VLO daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 291.46 · S2 288.55 · S3 213.83 · S4 159.90
④ Position 86% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (291-353), pos 86%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 353.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 291.46, stop 360.06
  • IF 失守 291.46 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 288.55 → 287.09
  • IF 突破 360.06 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 370.65 → 263.75
  • IF 跌穿 159.90 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d 52% win (n=42) · +4.4%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
263.75
R1 (today high)
353.00
Last
344.14
S1 KEY
291.46
S3
213.83
S4 (crash)
159.90
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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