10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,206.00 · S2 1,193.94 · S3 1,170.00 · S4 1,048.00
④ Position
63% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1206-1320), entry at R1 1320, target mid 1263, stop 1359
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,320.50 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,206.00, stop 1,346.91
- IF 失守 1,206.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,193.94 → 1,187.91
- IF 突破 1,346.91 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,386.53 → 1,477.50
- IF 跌穿 1,048.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,320.50
Target
1,263.25
Stop
1,359.03
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.92%
Reward
+4.34%
R:R
1.49 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,477.50
- R1 (today high)
- 1,296.50
- Last
- 1,278.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,252.00
- S3
- 1,170.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,048.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.