10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3,407.00 · S2 3,372.93 · S3 3,457.00 · S4 2,887.50
④ Position
87% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (3407-3645), entry at R1 3645, target mid 3526, stop 3741
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,645.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 3,407.00, stop 3,717.90
- IF 失守 3,407.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 3,372.93 → 3,355.89
- IF 突破 3,717.90 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,827.25 → 4,351.00
- IF 跌穿 2,887.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,645.00
Target
3,526.00
Stop
3,741.07
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.64%
Reward
+3.26%
R:R
1.24 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 4,351.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,621.00
- Last
- 3,614.00
- S1 KEY
- 3,407.00
- S3
- 3,457.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,887.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.