10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,635.00 · S2 2,608.65 · S3 2,726.67 · S4 2,333.33
④ Position
82% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2635-2893), entry at R1 2893, target mid 2764, stop 2994
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,893.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,635.00, stop 2,950.86
- IF 失守 2,635.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,608.65 → 2,595.47
- IF 突破 2,950.86 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,037.65 → 3,183.33
- IF 跌穿 2,333.33 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,893.00
Target
2,764.00
Stop
2,994.40
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.50%
Reward
+4.46%
R:R
1.27 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,183.33
- R1 (today high)
- 2,859.00
- Last
- 2,846.00
- S1 KEY
- 2,635.00
- S3
- 2,726.67
- S4 (crash)
- 2,333.33
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.