10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,526.00 · S2 1,510.74 · S3 1,612.00 · S4 1,331.00
④ Position
66% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1526-1669), entry at R1 1669, target mid 1598, stop 1712
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,669.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,526.00, stop 1,702.38
- IF 失守 1,526.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,510.74 → 1,503.11
- IF 突破 1,702.38 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,752.45 → 2,487.00
- IF 跌穿 1,331.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,669.00
Target
1,597.50
Stop
1,712.13
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.58%
Reward
+4.28%
R:R
1.66 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,487.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,650.00
- Last
- 1,621.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,588.00
- S3
- 1,612.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,331.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.