10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,875.00 · S2 1,856.25 · S3 1,650.00 · S4 1,615.00
④ Position
73% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1875-2593), entry at R1 2593, target mid 2234, stop 2765
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,593.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,875.00, stop 2,644.86
- IF 失守 1,875.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,856.25 → 1,846.88
- IF 突破 2,644.86 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,722.65 → 2,314.00
- IF 跌穿 1,615.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,593.00
Target
2,234.00
Stop
2,764.67
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+6.62%
Reward
+13.84%
R:R
2.09 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,314.00
- R1 (today high)
- 2,463.00
- Last
- 2,400.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,996.00
- S3
- 1,650.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,615.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.