10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 930.00 · S2 920.70 · S3 770.00 · S4 632.00
④ Position
73% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (930-1163), entry at R1 1163, target mid 1046, stop 1226
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,163.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 930.00, stop 1,186.26
- IF 失守 930.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 920.70 → 916.05
- IF 突破 1,186.26 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,221.15 → 1,348.00
- IF 跌穿 632.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,163.00
Target
1,046.50
Stop
1,225.59
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.38%
Reward
+10.02%
R:R
1.86 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,348.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,120.00
- Last
- 1,101.00
- S1 KEY
- 968.00
- S3
- 770.00
- S4 (crash)
- 632.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.