10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,392.00 · S2 2,368.08 · S3 2,171.50 · S4 2,412.00
④ Position
89% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2392-2654), entry at R1 2654, target mid 2523, stop 2735
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,654.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,392.00, stop 2,707.08
- IF 失守 2,392.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,368.08 → 2,356.12
- IF 突破 2,707.08 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,786.70 → 2,640.00
- IF 跌穿 2,412.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,654.00
Target
2,523.00
Stop
2,735.08
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.06%
Reward
+4.94%
R:R
1.62 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,640.00
- R1 (today high)
- 2,625.00
- Last
- 2,625.00
- S1 KEY
- 2,484.00
- S3
- 2,171.50
- S4 (crash)
- 2,412.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.