10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 804.00 · S2 795.96 · S3 1,005.00 · S4 186.00
④ Position
85% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_VOLATILE: ATR14 10.2% / box width 62% — 波動太大（thresholds: ATR≥6% 或 box≥35%），range mean-reversion 暫停，等波動收窄先再睇。
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,847.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 804.00, stop 1,883.94
- IF 失守 804.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 795.96 → 791.94
- IF 突破 1,883.94 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,939.35 → 4,380.00
- IF 跌穿 186.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_VOLATILE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 4,380.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,750.00
- Last
- 1,686.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,096.00
- S3
- 1,005.00
- S4 (crash)
- 186.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.