10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,076.00 · S2 2,055.24 · S3 1,426.50 · S4 1,164.50
④ Position
14% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (2076-2650), pos 14%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,649.50 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,076.00, stop 2,702.49
- IF 失守 2,076.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,055.24 → 2,044.86
- IF 突破 2,702.49 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,781.97 → 2,516.00
- IF 跌穿 1,164.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,516.00
- R1 (today high)
- 2,178.50
- Last
- 2,157.00
- S1 KEY
- 2,076.00
- S3
- 1,426.50
- S4 (crash)
- 1,164.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.