10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3,451.00 · S2 3,416.49 · S3 2,840.00 · S4 2,630.00
④ Position
83% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (3451-3849), entry at R1 3849, target mid 3650, stop 3980
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,849.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 3,451.00, stop 3,925.98
- IF 失守 3,451.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 3,416.49 → 3,399.24
- IF 突破 3,925.98 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 4,041.45 → 3,622.00
- IF 跌穿 2,630.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,849.00
Target
3,650.00
Stop
3,980.21
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.41%
Reward
+5.17%
R:R
1.52 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,622.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,790.00
- Last
- 3,781.00
- S1 KEY
- 3,656.00
- S3
- 2,840.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,630.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.