10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3,210.00 · S2 3,177.90 · S3 3,110.00 · S4 3,160.00
④ Position
76% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (3210-3475), entry at R1 3475, target mid 3342, stop 3547
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,475.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 3,210.00, stop 3,544.50
- IF 失守 3,210.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 3,177.90 → 3,161.85
- IF 突破 3,544.50 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,648.75 → 3,420.00
- IF 跌穿 3,160.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,475.00
Target
3,342.50
Stop
3,547.06
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.07%
Reward
+3.81%
R:R
1.84 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,420.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,410.00
- Last
- 3,410.00
- S1 KEY
- 3,336.00
- S3
- 3,110.00
- S4 (crash)
- 3,160.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.