10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,492.00 · S2 1,477.08 · S3 1,350.00 · S4 1,226.00
④ Position
87% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1492-1699), entry at R1 1699, target mid 1596, stop 1745
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,699.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,492.00, stop 1,732.98
- IF 失守 1,492.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,477.08 → 1,469.62
- IF 突破 1,732.98 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,783.95 → 1,649.00
- IF 跌穿 1,226.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,699.00
Target
1,595.50
Stop
1,744.81
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.70%
Reward
+6.09%
R:R
2.26 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,649.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,681.00
- Last
- 1,673.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,604.00
- S3
- 1,350.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,226.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.