10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,272.00 · S2 1,259.28 · S3 1,279.00 · S4 1,406.00
④ Position
84% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1272-1359), entry at R1 1359, target mid 1316, stop 1386
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,359.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,272.00, stop 1,386.18
- IF 失守 1,272.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,259.28 → 1,252.92
- IF 突破 1,386.18 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,426.95 → 1,498.00
- IF 跌穿 1,406.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,359.00
Target
1,315.50
Stop
1,386.18
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+3.20%
R:R
1.60 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,498.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,359.00
- Last
- 1,345.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,300.00
- S3
- 1,279.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,406.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.