10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 628.20 · S2 621.92 · S3 536.40 · S4 580.20
④ Position
61% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (628-708), entry at R1 708, target mid 668, stop 732
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 708.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 628.20, stop 722.16
- IF 失守 628.20 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 621.92 → 618.78
- IF 突破 722.16 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 743.40 → 622.90
- IF 跌穿 580.20 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
708.00
Target
668.10
Stop
731.63
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.34%
Reward
+5.64%
R:R
1.69 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 622.90
- R1 (today high)
- 681.00
- Last
- 677.00
- S1 KEY
- 656.00
- S3
- 536.40
- S4 (crash)
- 580.20
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.