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JP · KOMATSU

6301.T 7,538.00 -0.30%

KOMATSU · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Base building

Phase: Base building Action: SELL Strategy: SELL_R1 Reliability:
6301.T daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Base building
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 6,582.00 · S2 6,516.18 · S3 5,904.00 · S4 4,914.00
④ Position 91% of box
⑤ Bias (短) SELL
⑥ Notes SELL_R1: in box (6582-7636), entry at R1 7636, target mid 7109, stop 7917

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 7,636.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 6,582.00, stop 7,788.72
  • IF 失守 6,582.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 6,516.18 → 6,483.27
  • IF 突破 7,788.72 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 8,017.80 → 7,403.00
  • IF 跌穿 4,914.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan ▼ SELL

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy SELL_R1
Trigger 7,636.00
Target 7,109.00
Stop 7,917.11
Phase match ✓ 配對
Risk +3.68%
Reward +6.90%
R:R 1.87 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
7,403.00
R1 (today high)
7,610.00
Last
7,538.00
S1 KEY
7,272.00
S3
5,904.00
S4 (crash)
4,914.00
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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