10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3,515.00 · S2 3,479.85 · S3 3,043.00 · S4 3,230.00
④ Position
91% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (3515-3968), entry at R1 3968, target mid 3742, stop 4127
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,968.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 3,515.00, stop 4,047.36
- IF 失守 3,515.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 3,479.85 → 3,462.28
- IF 突破 4,047.36 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 4,166.40 → 3,728.00
- IF 跌穿 3,230.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,968.00
Target
3,741.50
Stop
4,126.67
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.00%
Reward
+5.71%
R:R
1.43 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,728.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,968.00
- Last
- 3,928.00
- S1 KEY
- 3,816.00
- S3
- 3,043.00
- S4 (crash)
- 3,230.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.