10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,750.00 · S2 1,732.50 · S3 1,291.50 · S4 1,078.50
④ Position
83% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1750-1970), entry at R1 1970, target mid 1860, stop 2041
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,970.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,750.00, stop 2,009.40
- IF 失守 1,750.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,732.50 → 1,723.75
- IF 突破 2,009.40 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,068.50 → 1,729.50
- IF 跌穿 1,078.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,970.00
Target
1,860.00
Stop
2,040.70
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.59%
Reward
+5.58%
R:R
1.56 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,729.50
- R1 (today high)
- 1,949.00
- Last
- 1,933.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,860.00
- S3
- 1,291.50
- S4 (crash)
- 1,078.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.