10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,869.50 · S2 2,840.80 · S3 2,798.00 · S4 2,994.00
④ Position
90% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2870-3145), entry at R1 3145, target mid 3007, stop 3240
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,145.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,869.50, stop 3,207.90
- IF 失守 2,869.50 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,840.80 → 2,826.46
- IF 突破 3,207.90 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,302.25 → 3,635.00
- IF 跌穿 2,994.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
3,145.00
Target
3,007.25
Stop
3,239.89
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.02%
Reward
+4.38%
R:R
1.45 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,635.00
- R1 (today high)
- 3,145.00
- Last
- 3,116.00
- S1 KEY
- 2,968.00
- S3
- 2,798.00
- S4 (crash)
- 2,994.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.