10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,821.00 · S2 1,802.79 · S3 2,075.00 · S4 1,754.00
④ Position
70% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1821-2045), entry at R1 2045, target mid 1933, stop 2090
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,045.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,821.00, stop 2,085.90
- IF 失守 1,821.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,802.79 → 1,793.68
- IF 突破 2,085.90 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,147.25 → 2,728.00
- IF 跌穿 1,754.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,045.00
Target
1,933.00
Stop
2,089.51
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.18%
Reward
+5.48%
R:R
2.52 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,728.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,989.00
- Last
- 1,979.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,920.00
- S3
- 2,075.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,754.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.