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JP · SERENDIP HOLDINGS CO LTD

7318.T 1,452.00 -0.27%

SERENDIP HOLDINGS CO LTD · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Downtrend active

Phase: Downtrend active Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE Reliability:
7318.T daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Downtrend active
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 1,364.00 · S2 1,350.36 · S3 1,350.00 · S4 950.00
④ Position 12% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (1364-2130), pos 11%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 2,130.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,364.00, stop 2,172.60
  • IF 失守 1,364.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,350.36 → 1,343.54
  • IF 突破 2,172.60 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,236.50 → 2,550.00
  • IF 跌穿 950.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
2,550.00
R1 (today high)
1,485.00
Last
1,452.00
S1 KEY
1,364.00
S3
1,350.00
S4 (crash)
950.00
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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