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T-1 · 2026-08-28
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DARK
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JP · TOKYO ELECTRON
8035.T
56,230.00
+0.41%
TOKYO ELECTRON · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Downtrend active
Phase:
Downtrend active
Action:
WAIT
Strategy:
WAIT_RANGE
Reliability:
—
10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 52,550.00 · S2 52,024.50 · S3 36,520.00 · S4 30,060.00
④ Position
40% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (52550-61650), pos 40%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
IF
反彈至 61,650.00 區間,
THEN
SELL_R1 entry, target 52,550.00, stop 62,883.00
IF
失守 52,550.00 (S1),
THEN
SHORT confirmation, target 52,024.50 → 51,761.75
IF
突破 62,883.00 企穩,
THEN
反轉睇 64,732.50 → 61,420.00
IF
跌穿 30,060.00 (crash low),
THEN
中期 bear confirm,avoid
Action Plan
WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
R3 (Aug high)
61,420.00
R1 (today high)
57,520.00
Last
56,230.00
S1 KEY
54,544.00
S3
36,520.00
S4 (crash)
30,060.00
⚠
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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