10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,101.50 · S2 2,080.49 · S3 1,724.00 · S4 1,597.00
④ Position
88% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2102-2319), entry at R1 2319, target mid 2210, stop 2382
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 2,319.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 2,101.50, stop 2,365.38
- IF 失守 2,101.50 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 2,080.49 → 2,069.98
- IF 突破 2,365.38 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 2,434.95 → 2,147.50
- IF 跌穿 1,597.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
2,319.00
Target
2,210.25
Stop
2,382.44
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.74%
Reward
+4.69%
R:R
1.71 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,147.50
- R1 (today high)
- 2,313.00
- Last
- 2,293.00
- S1 KEY
- 2,244.00
- S3
- 1,724.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,597.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.