10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,425.00 · S2 1,410.75 · S3 1,455.00 · S4 1,567.50
④ Position
69% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (1425-1591), entry at R1 1591, target mid 1508, stop 1637
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,591.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry, target 1,425.00, stop 1,622.82
- IF 失守 1,425.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation, target 1,410.75 → 1,403.62
- IF 突破 1,622.82 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,670.55 → 2,034.00
- IF 跌穿 1,567.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan ▼ SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,591.00
Target
1,508.00
Stop
1,637.38
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.92%
Reward
+5.22%
R:R
1.79 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 2,034.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,542.00
- Last
- 1,540.00
- S1 KEY
- 1,504.00
- S3
- 1,455.00
- S4 (crash)
- 1,567.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.