10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 157.76 · S2 156.18 · S3 155.82 · S4 188.73
④ Position
96% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (158-188), entry at R1 188, target mid 173, stop 200
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 188.45 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 157.76, stop 192.22
- IF 失守 157.76 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 156.18 → 155.39
- IF 突破 192.22 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 197.87 → 218.60
- IF 跌穿 188.73 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
188.45
Target
173.10
Stop
199.75
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+6.00%
Reward
+8.14%
R:R
1.36 : 1
Backtest 30d
57% win (n=7) · +2.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 218.60
- R1 (today high)
- 188.45
- Last
- 187.08
- S1 KEY
- 157.76
- S3
- 155.82
- S4 (crash)
- 188.73
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.