10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 120.06 · S2 118.86 · S3 124.68 · S4 112.54
④ Position
19% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (120-134), pos 19%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 134.13 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 120.06, stop 136.81
- IF 失守 120.06 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 118.86 → 118.26
- IF 突破 136.81 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 140.84 → 139.44
- IF 跌穿 112.54 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
56% win (n=16) · +1.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 139.44
- R1 (today high)
- 134.13
- Last
- 122.77
- S1 KEY
- 120.06
- S3
- 124.68
- S4 (crash)
- 112.54
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.