10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 25.19 · S2 24.94 · S3 23.45 · S4 24.60
④ Position
19% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (25-30), entry at S1 25, target mid 28, stop 24
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 30.22 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 25.19, stop 30.82
- IF 失守 25.19 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 24.94 → 24.81
- IF 突破 30.82 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 31.73 → 30.16
- IF 跌穿 24.60 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
25.19
Target
27.70
Stop
23.97
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.83%
Reward
+9.98%
R:R
2.07 : 1
Backtest 90d
67% win (n=6) · +3.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 30.16
- R1 (today high)
- 30.22
- Last
- 26.14
- S1 KEY
- 25.19
- S3
- 23.45
- S4 (crash)
- 24.60
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.