10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 48.00 · S2 47.52 · S3 44.90 · S4 59.27
④ Position
94% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (48-63), entry at R1 63, target mid 56, stop 64
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 63.11 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 48.00, stop 64.37
- IF 失守 48.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 47.52 → 47.28
- IF 突破 64.37 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 66.27 → 66.12
- IF 跌穿 59.27 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
63.11
Target
55.55
Stop
64.37
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+11.97%
R:R
5.99 : 1
Backtest 197d
57% win (n=7) · +1.0%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 66.12
- R1 (today high)
- 63.11
- Last
- 62.20
- S1 KEY
- 48.00
- S3
- 44.90
- S4 (crash)
- 59.27
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.