10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 56.12 · S2 55.56 · S3 54.46 · S4 57.01
④ Position
94% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (56-76), entry at R1 76, target mid 66, stop 82
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 76.07 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 56.12, stop 77.59
- IF 失守 56.12 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 55.56 → 55.28
- IF 突破 77.59 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 79.87 → 83.91
- IF 跌穿 57.01 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
76.07
Target
66.09
Stop
81.84
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+7.58%
Reward
+13.11%
R:R
1.73 : 1
Backtest 60d
67% win (n=6) · +2.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 83.91
- R1 (today high)
- 76.07
- Last
- 74.86
- S1 KEY
- 56.12
- S3
- 54.46
- S4 (crash)
- 57.01
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.