10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 185.87 · S2 184.01 · S3 177.74 · S4 146.49
④ Position
66% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (186-209), entry at R1 209, target mid 197, stop 215
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 208.98 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 185.87, stop 213.16
- IF 失守 185.87 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 184.01 → 183.08
- IF 突破 213.16 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 219.43 → 214.71
- IF 跌穿 146.49 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
208.98
Target
197.42
Stop
214.87
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.82%
Reward
+5.53%
R:R
1.96 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 214.71
- R1 (today high)
- 208.98
- Last
- 201.13
- S1 KEY
- 185.87
- S3
- 177.74
- S4 (crash)
- 146.49
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.