10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 82.61 · S2 81.78 · S3 66.22 · S4 84.61
④ Position
100% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (83-105), entry at R1 105, target mid 94, stop 110
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 104.85 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 82.61, stop 106.95
- IF 失守 82.61 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 81.78 → 81.37
- IF 突破 106.95 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 110.09 → 99.11
- IF 跌穿 84.61 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
104.85
Target
93.73
Stop
110.35
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.25%
Reward
+10.61%
R:R
2.02 : 1
Backtest 197d
50% win (n=26) · +3.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 99.11
- R1 (today high)
- 104.85
- Last
- 104.85
- S1 KEY
- 82.61
- S3
- 66.22
- S4 (crash)
- 84.61
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.