10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 128.28 · S2 127.00 · S3 127.64 · S4 116.88
④ Position
93% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (128-149), entry at R1 149, target mid 139, stop 155
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 148.97 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 128.28, stop 151.95
- IF 失守 128.28 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 127.00 → 126.36
- IF 突破 151.95 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 156.42 → 149.38
- IF 跌穿 116.88 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
148.97
Target
138.62
Stop
154.64
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.81%
Reward
+6.94%
R:R
1.82 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 149.38
- R1 (today high)
- 148.97
- Last
- 147.49
- S1 KEY
- 128.28
- S3
- 127.64
- S4 (crash)
- 116.88
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.