10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 71.24 · S2 70.53 · S3 59.31 · S4 48.52
④ Position
18% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (71-86), pos 18%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 85.97 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 71.24, stop 87.69
- IF 失守 71.24 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 70.53 → 70.17
- IF 突破 87.69 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 90.27 → 105.91
- IF 跌穿 48.52 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 105.91
- R1 (today high)
- 85.97
- Last
- 73.88
- S1 KEY
- 71.24
- S3
- 59.31
- S4 (crash)
- 48.52
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.